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gumshoe
16-11-2005, 19:16
Time for more foolishness from gumshoe. :eek:

I was horsing around on another forum a few months back, and ended up talking myself into considering that Molly Weasley is actually dead and has been replaced by who knows whom.

It was in the context of a discussion about Trelawney's superstition (can we make a distinction between her predictions and her superstitions, perhaps?): "When thirteen dine together, the first to rise is the first to die." There's been chatter here and there about who rose first at the Christmas dinner in PoA and in #12 Grimmauld Place in OoP.
I've read it argued that Dumbledore rose first in PoA while Scabbers was in Ron's pocket, or that it was Ron and Harry after Trelawney joined the group. I've also read posters remarking in amazement that Sirius rose first and since he's dead, Trelawney's superstition is right. But Molly rose first, not Sirius.

So when does the "first to rise" rule take effect -- once the meal has commenced with everyone seated? Or after the meal has concluded, dessert and all? If before dessert counts, it's Molly (in OoP). If it's after dessert, it's Ginny, as she was shown playing with Crookshanks on the floor before Sirius started to rise. In neither case, before or after dessert, does Sirius rise first. (Molly got up long before he did, to get dessert. (p. 86, Scholastic 1st ed.): "Mrs. Weasley threw a very nasty look at Sirius before getting to her feet and going to fetch a large rhubarb crumble for pudding.")

At the Christmas dinner, everyone is seated and the meal has commenced, then Trelawney walks in. Dumbledore rises to greet her. She finally sits after much fuss about the superstition. At the end of the meal, Harry and Ron rise first, simultaneously. Now, I examined the text pretty closely, and I didn't see that it was provable that Scabbers was in Ron's pocket, but I'll admit it looks pretty likely, as Ron had kept him in his pocket continuously for several weeks by then; plus, JK makes a point of showing Scabbers to the reader right before the dinner scene, as if reminding us of his presence. It is in this passage that we learn Ron's been carrying him around.

I'm going on the assumption that once thirteen sit down to dine, even if the meal isn't finished, the first to rise is the first to die -- the superstition doesn't specify "the first to rise afterward is the first to die."

We can look at this two ways.
If we assume Trelawney is right about the 13 to dine superstition, then we see evidence of this in Dumbledore being the first of that group to die, with the head count at the table already being at 13 when Trelawney entered the room (because of Scabbers). Taking this to the next dinner, first summer in OoP, Molly rises first, and Sirius dies at the Ministry the following spring. If Trelawney was right and we have proof of it with Dumbledore's death in HBP, then it means that Molly actually died before Sirius and was replaced. (I could almost make an argument for this, by the way, if it weren't for Crookshanks not batting an eyelash about her in HBP!)

So, nobody probably likes the fake-Molly theory. Trelawney is full of it. Sirius died first, even though Molly rose first. Could then the purpose of this whole incident be foreshadowing the fact that Dumbledore isn't actually dead? ;)

Couldn't resist.

gumshoe

The Frozen North
19-11-2005, 05:11
Perhaps it's just Trelawny being a batty old fruitcake and has absolutely no significance. I must say that I never read anything more into it than that :)

gumshoe
19-11-2005, 10:55
That was kind of my point!
If it's utter garbage, then perhaps the reason for it's inclusion in the books is a hint of some sort...

Alz
20-11-2005, 04:31
OK - it wasnt garbage - it was another true prediction.
It was long accepted it was JKR playing and foreshadowing Sirius death - but I have to say I never realised it was technically Mollie that rose first :o
In the context of 13 dining and one dying - we can cover that with Sirius - but what it that was another JKR red herring?
What if - and gumshoe is right - in fact we are seeing Mollie step forward towards her fate - rememer - it is long assumed and I think confirmed by JKR that Mollie was a Prewitt - as such we know that the family has a vendetta against it ... ;)

gumshoe
20-11-2005, 04:48
Right -- lots of people have been amazed to discover that there were 13 at that dinner (something I never did, nitpicker that I tend to be) -- and the point where Sirius starts to rise. And it's been compared to the other dinner, especially since HBP, where it's noted Dumbledore rises first.

Seems to me she did it on purpose. I'm thinking it's either a hint that Dumbledore isn't dead or a hint that Molly has been replaced. And we really almost could make a case for Molly being an impostor if it weren't for Crookshanks not noticing anything wrong. (If there's interest, I'll refer to the text and bring up those points, it's not fresh in my brain.)
Of course, I'd rather think it's foreshadowing that Dumbledore's not dead. ;)

The Frozen North
06-12-2005, 13:46
Just a little side issue but I've been thinking about the origins of this superstition, JKR does not usually make these things up, and 13 is a very normal number to be supersticious about.

Ever heard of The Last Supper, how many sat down to dine then? And what happened to the first to rise?

Sirius Potter Fan
06-12-2005, 15:42
I wonder if that is where it came from, or if that was the basis that JKR used for her superstition. I had a pretty superstitious mother, but she never mentioned anything about what happens when 13 sit at a dinner table, (and we had some very large Christmas Thanksgiving dinners that had to have 13 at some point. . .) I wonder if this may be another Biblical HP parallel?

SnarkologyMajor
07-12-2005, 04:39
That is a great thought, I never had The Last Supper come to mind, but that does seem like something she'd do. I also think if Molly does die-that would be a perfect J.K.R. gotcha! I hope not though:( Who was at the right and left hand of Sirius...hmmm..might have to check that one. Most of Trelawney's predictions being rubbish is a red herring! Too many of them have already come true.

Becks
07-12-2005, 06:34
I never thought of this, good topic.

I think I like the theory of Molly being replaced. Quite possible and would be a nice twist, but I don't know if it counted with Molly getting up before Sirius, but only to get desert. I think thats probably counted though, I mean they all sat down and Molly was first to stand up. I need to read the last 2 books again me thinks.

Going on that, Dumbledore being not dead? Sorry Gumshoe, I think he is dead. If he wasn't dead, he would have probably known what was going to happen and he wouldn't have pleaded like he did. Poor bloke. Oh and just a bit off topic because it came to mind, Alz, do you still think Dumbledore is/was evil!?

Also, just want to get your thoughts, if Molly was so called 'replaced' who would be her replacement do you think??

Alz
08-12-2005, 06:48
Ok - so non-religious person here is going to ask about the 13th - I trust it was Judus?
By strange coincidence I was watching HBO when I got back from work the other day and they had some Jesus story film on - I know Judus did leave the table and betrayed jesus ... and then later hung himself?
Are we suggesting Molly is a spy who will later hang herself?
Remeber she is a Prewitt - and what happened to all the Prewitts!

BTW - they did miss that bit at the end of the film where is says 'the characters portrayed in this presentation are fictious and bear no resemblance to both living or dead .... OK will stop - yes I am a heathen!